Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.290131 14.328923 16.547828 19.135279 22.062453 25.263948 29.022916
2025-11-02 8.606654 11.327986 14.596918 18.779117 23.950318 30.095156 37.905742
2025-11-09 6.437269 9.355527 13.150375 18.370492 25.276998 34.004967 45.756554
2025-11-16 4.984716 7.900856 11.961383 17.899083 26.206259 37.240602 52.794069
2025-11-23 3.869957 6.650660 10.774083 17.145654 26.511906 39.504937 58.554336
2025-11-30 3.370066 6.201294 10.626123 17.780074 28.725275 44.443019 68.212483
2025-12-07 2.970010 5.825216 10.509345 18.400963 30.915821 49.447751 78.246547
2025-12-14 2.460000 5.161316 9.823417 18.018293 31.496918 52.081558 84.949982
2025-12-21 2.029527 4.553059 9.130707 17.514560 31.793437 54.246112 91.020717
2025-12-28 1.864473 4.415607 9.231557 18.342980 34.289923 59.938820 102.777555
2026-01-04 1.688253 4.221585 9.197264 18.916216 36.383986 65.098993 113.966505
2026-01-11 1.475266 3.908671 8.891957 18.955000 37.543437 68.791256 122.993096
2026-01-18 1.272512 3.595826 8.577771 19.009095 38.854947 73.022669 133.501135
2026-01-25 1.065954 3.231813 8.112785 18.734828 39.582049 76.380343 142.897128
2026-02-01 0.884740 2.883866 7.622398 18.341132 40.036683 79.282057 151.689482
2026-02-08 0.729852 2.561834 7.131149 17.872846 40.284722 81.806485 159.948638
2026-02-15 0.585989 2.227137 6.547480 17.120797 39.883811 83.100848 166.090625
2026-02-22 0.535620 2.156257 6.590325 17.754509 42.321964 89.763309 182.140987
2026-03-01 0.489898 2.087591 6.626884 18.374647 44.776235 96.592513 198.831711
2026-03-08 0.409180 1.877508 6.256464 17.992451 45.076536 99.321738 208.129963
2026-03-15 0.337279 1.672550 5.859569 17.489339 45.058520 101.412048 216.323023
2026-03-22 0.317238 1.655701 5.992000 18.316739 48.038644 109.583504 236.390579
2026-03-29 0.291254 1.607251 6.023702 18.889273 50.486365 116.815995 254.986633